Why gains count a year later
A buyer pays for what shows up in the trailing twelve months, so every gain is credited a year after the work lands. That is what makes waiting expensive.
Buyers pay for the last twelve months
A buyer, and the buyer’s lender, look at what the business actually earned over the trailing twelve months. A price increase that started last month has barely shown up. One that started a year ago is fully in the numbers. So the engine credits each gain twelve months after the work lands, not when it starts.
This is why the order of the plan matters so much: quick, provable moves go first so their year starts sooner.
What waiting a year costs
Start the sample’s plan this quarter and about $5.85M of value is creditable three years from now. Start the same plan a year later and, on the same date, the same work is worth about $5.20M.
How to read it. The difference between the bottom two bars, $647k, is the price of the year.
What this is not
It is not the value of time passing. On today’s trends, the engine’s own forecast puts the sample at about $4.89M in three years with nothing changed, because the forecast already carries growth, price drift and churn forward. That is a different basis from the plan arithmetic, which is measured against today’s valuation, and the two are never added together.
- Credit lag. Each objective’s gain arrives twelve months after its work lands, when it is fully in the trailing twelve months
- Comparison. The creditable value at month 36 for the plan started now against the plan started twelve months later; the difference is printed as the cost of waiting
- Wrong order. The report also draws the same plan run in the wrong order, so the cost of sequencing is visible
- Basis. Today’s valuation basis throughout; the no-change forecast is a separate figure and is not added
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